Latest baseball scores, trades, talk, ideas, opinions, and standings

Archive for the ‘gold’ Category

>Hyperinflation Is Coming – Food Storage Is Paramount

>What A Great Day – With Glenn Beck At The Helm We Shall Not Fail!


Egypt: Preview of America in 2015
 
The rioting and looting currently taking place in Egypt is primarily a result of massive food inflation and shows what all major cities in the United States will likely look like come year 2015 due to the Federal Reserve’s zero percent interest rates and quantitative easing to infinity. On December 16th, 2009, NIA named Time Magazine’s 2009 ‘Person of the Year’ Ben Bernanke our ‘Villain of the Year’, saying he created “unprecedented amounts of inflation in unprecedented ways” and “When it costs $20 for a gallon of milk in a few years, Americans will have nobody to thank more than Bernanke.”
 
What started out a few weeks ago as protests in Algeria with citizens chanting “Bring Us Sugar!” and five citizens being killed, quickly spread to civil unrest in Tunisia which saw 14 more civilian deaths, and has now spread to riots in Egypt where 300 Egyptian citizens have been killed. Food inflation in Egypt has reached 20% and citizens in the nation already spend about 40% of their monthly expenditures on food. Americans for decades have been blessed with cheap food, spending only 13% of their expenditures on food, but this is about to change.
 
NIA was the first to predict the recent explosion in agricultural commodity prices in our October 30th, 2009, article entitled, “U.S. Inflation to Appear Next in Food and Agriculture”, which said we have a “perfect storm for an explosion in agriculture prices”. A couple of months later in ‘NIA’s Top 10 Predictions for 2010’ we predicted “Major Food Shortages” and said, “Inventories of agricultural products are the lowest they have been in decades yet the prices of many agricultural commodities are down 70% to 80% from their all time highs adjusted for real inflation”. Over the past year, agricultural commodities as a whole have outperformed almost every other type of asset, with silver being one of only a few other assets keeping pace with agriculture. (On December 11th, 2009, NIA declared silver the best investment for the next decade at $17.40 per ounce and it has so far risen 64% to its current price of $28.39 per ounce).
 
The world is at the beginning stages of an all out inflationary panic. Wheat, which NIA previously called on ‘NIAnswers’ its favorite investment besides gold and silver, is now up to a new 30-month high of $8.63 per bushel and has doubled in price since June of last year. Algeria bought 800,000 tonnes of wheat this past week, bringing their total purchases for the month of January up to 1.8 million tonnes, which was quadruple expectations. Saudi Arabia is also beginning to stockpile their inventories of wheat. Rice futures have gained 8% during the past few days with Bangladesh and Indonesia placing extraordinary large orders. Indonesia’s latest rice order was quadruple its normal allotment and Bangladesh plans to double rice purchases this year. Meanwhile, the U.S., which is the world’s third largest exporter of rice, is expected to cut production by 25% in 2011.
 
NIA considers rice to be one of the world’s most undervalued agricultural commodities at its current price of $15.96 per 100 pounds and forecasts a move back to its 2008 high of $24 per 100 pounds as soon as the end of 2011. NIA believes cotton, at its current price of $1.80 per pound, may have gotten a bit ahead of itself in the short-term. In NIA’s first ever article about agriculture on February 17th, 2009, we said that cotton’s “upside potential is astronomical” at its then price of $0.44 per pound. NIA pointed to increasing sales to textile companies in China and the fact that cotton was down 70% from its all time high as reasons to be very bullish on cotton at $0.44 per pound. Early NIA members could have made 309% on cotton, but today we see much bigger potential in rice. The recent spike in cotton reminds us of the 2008 spike in oil. Although we believe cotton will ultimately rise above $3 per pound later this decade, we could possibly see a dip to below $1.40 per pound first.
 
Many people in the mainstream media have been criticizing NIA’s recent food inflation report, claiming that agricultural commodity prices have very little to do with prices of food in the supermarket. CNBC’s Steve Liesman, in particular, claims that “rising commodity prices won’t cause inflation”. Liesman has it backwards. NIA has never claimed that rising commodity prices cause inflation. Soaring budget deficits that the U.S. government can’t possibly pay for through taxation causes inflation when the Fed is forced to monetize the debt by printing money.
 
Rising commodity prices are only a symptom of inflation. The reason NIA was so bullish on agricultural commodities going back two years ago when we produced our first documentary ‘Hyperinflation Nation’, is because while gold is the best gauge of inflation and is often the best tool for predicting future money printing, agriculture is where the majority of the monetary inflation ends up going after the Fed’s newly printed money trickles down to the middle-class and poor. With gold prices already surging two years ago when we produced ‘Hyperinflation Nation’, NIA said in the documentary “food prices have the potential to surge most during hyperinflation”.
 
One thing NIA is almost 100% sure of is that come year 2015, middle-class Americans will be spending at least 30% to 40% of their income on food, similar to Egyptians today. As NIA warned in its latest documentary ‘End of Liberty’, if you don’t have enough money to accumulate physical gold and silver, it is important to begin establishing your own food storage, and store enough food to feed you and your family for at least six months during hyperinflation. Many store shelves in Egypt are now empty after recent panic buying, with shortages of nearly all major staple items throughout the country.
 
The U.S. Treasury is getting ready to sell $72 billion in new long-term bonds next week, as the U.S. rapidly approaches its $14.29 trillion debt limit. The debt limit is now expected to be reached by April 5th and Treasury Secretary Geithner warned the U.S. will see “catastrophic damage” if it isn’t raised. With the Federal Reserve now surpassing China and Japan as the largest holder of U.S. treasuries, the real “catastrophic damage” ahead will be hyperinflation as a result of the U.S. government doing absolutely nothing to dramatically reduce spending. It is an absolute joke that Obama during his State of the Union address announced $400 billion in spending cuts over the next 10 years, but then the very next day, the Congressional Budget Office increased its 2011 budget deficit projection by $400 billion to $1.48 trillion.
 
Not raising the debt limit would be a good thing, as it would force Washington to live within its means. Sure, the stock market would collapse and the U.S. economy would enter into its next Great Depression, but at least it would save the U.S. dollar from losing all of its purchasing power. In fact, the standard of living for middle class Americans might actually improve if the government allowed the free market to put our economy into a depression, because goods and services would get cheaper.
 
The U.S. economy has become a drug addict that is dependent on cheap and easy money from the Federal Reserve. While Wall Street bankers took home a record $135 billion in total compensation in 2010, up 5.7% from $128 billion in 2009, this money was stolen from middle-class and poor Americans through inflation. The more monetary inflation (heroin) the Federal Reserve creates in order to satisfy the (in the words of Gerald Celente) “money junkies” on Wall Street, the more middle-class and poor Americans become dependent on unemployment checks and food stamps just to survive. Millions of American students are graduating college with hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt but no jobs. Luckily for them (but not holders of U.S. dollars), NIA is hearing reports from both unemployed and underemployed college graduates with student loans that the government is reducing their required monthly payments by sometimes 90% or more based on their current incomes.
 
China and Japan recently saw their credit ratings downgraded, while the U.S. credit rating remains at “AAA”. NIA believes it would make far more sense for the world’s largest debtor nation to be downgraded instead of the world’s two largest creditor nations. The Federal Reserve’s second round of quantitative easing has yet to even reach the halfway point and the Fed already holds about $1.11 trillion in U.S. treasuries. By the time QE2 is over at the end of June, the Fed will own $1.6 trillion in U.S. treasuries, about what China and Japan own combined. Shockingly, Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig is already dropping hints about QE3. According to Hoenig, the Fed may consider extending treasury purchases beyond June 30th, 2010, (the scheduled completion date for QE2) if U.S. economic data looks disappointing.
 
With the Fed taking over as the largest holder of U.S. treasuries, China is beginning to rapidly move away from the U.S. dollar and into gold. In just the first 10 months of 2010, China imported 209 metric tons of gold compared to 45 metric tons in all of 2009, a stunning five-fold increase. While the western world is downplaying the threat of inflation as much as possible, Asian countries understand that hyperinflation is the most devastating thing that can possibly happen to any economy. The demand for gold in Asia right now is the most intense it has ever been, as they look to tackle rising inflation before it becomes hyperinflation.
 
The Chinese are so smart that families are now giving each other gold bullion as gifts instead of traditional red envelopes filled with cash. China is now on track to soon surpass India as the world’s largest consumer of gold. The China Securities Regulatory Commission recently gave Beijing-based Lion Fund Management Co. approval to create a fund that will invest into foreign gold ETFs.
 
U.S. stock mutual funds saw $6.7 billion in net inflows during the past two weeks, the most in any two week period since May of 2009. The rioting, looting, and civil unrest in Egypt is now making the U.S. look like the safe haven of the world, even though it should be considered the riskiest place to invest. From the Dow’s low in August until now, about $38 billion was actually removed from U.S. stock mutual funds, despite the stock market rising 20%. The Dow Jones has been rising from September until now solely due to the Federal Reserve printing around $350 billion out of thin air. When central banks print money, stock markets often act as a relief valve due to there being too much inflation going into the hands of financial institutions.
 
The U.S. M2 money supply surged by $46.6 billion during the week ending January 17th to a record $8.8623 trillion, following a rise during the previous week of $7.6 billion. The rise in the M2 money supply over the past two weeks of $54.2 billion equals an annualized increase of 16%. The M2 multiplier now stands at 4.218 compared to a long-term average of 10. When QE2 is complete, the Fed’s monetary base will likely stand at $2.59 trillion. A return to the long-term average M2 multiplier of 10 means we are due to see a 192% increase in the M2 money supply and that is not even including a possible QE3 and QE4.
 
The U.S. economic ponzi scheme could unravel very quickly in the years ahead, with the velocity of money increasing much faster than anybody expects. As more Americans learn about NIA and become educated to the truth about the U.S. economy and inflation, a complete loss of confidence in the U.S. dollar could occur very suddenly. It is important for all Americans to prepare as if hyperinflation will be here tomorrow. At least in Egypt, their currency still has purchasing power and their citizens are trying to implement a regime change before it is too late. By 2015 in America, it will already be too late and the civil unrest here has the potential to be many times worse.
 
It is important to spread the word about NIA to as many people as possible, as quickly as possible, if you want America to survive hyperinflation. Please tell everybody you know to become members of NIA for free immediately at: http://inflation.u

>Senator Hatch’s Idea Of Balanced Budget Amendment Sounds Great. Is It Possible?

>

Obama Fails to Address Inflation in State of the Union
From:
National Inflation Association 

Add to Contacts

To: dusanotes@yahoo.com

Obama Fails to Address Inflation in State of the Union
 
President Obama’s State of the Union address last night did not make one single mention of inflation, when it is the belief of NIA that massive price inflation (especially food inflation) will become America’s top crisis by the end of this calendar year. Obama’s speech also failed to mention the Federal Reserve, the Federal Funds Rate being held near 0% for over two years, and the Fed’s latest round of $600 billion in quantitative easing. Unless Obama addresses our nation’s fiat currency system, nothing else he says has any meaning at all.
 
After the U.S. lost 8.36 million jobs over a two year period from December of 2007 through December of 2009, our economy has recovered 1.12 million jobs as a result of the Federal Reserve and U.S. government spending $4.6 trillion on bailouts and stimulus programs. That is over $4 million spent for each job created. Instead of bailing out Wall Street and allowing non-productive bankers to receive record bonuses, the U.S. could have sent a check for $550,000 to each middle-class American who lost their job.
 
When a central bank prints trillions of dollars out of thin air, you are going to see some type of a nominal uptick in economic statistics. Obama can brag all he wants about over 1 million jobs being created, but he continues to ignore what the ultimate cost of it will be. When a government has an annual cash budget deficit of over $1 trillion that cannot possibly be balanced by raising taxes, massive inflation is the inevitable outcome. Our real budget deficit, once you include increases in our unfunded liabilities for Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, is already north of $5 trillion. NIA believes the U.S. is now at serious risk of experiencing hyperinflation by the year 2015.
 
Obama proposed in his speech that “we freeze annual domestic spending for the next five years” saying it “would reduce the deficit by more than $400 billion over the next decade, and will bring discretionary spending to the lowest share of our economy since Dwight Eisenhower was president.” The truth is, Obama’s proposals, if successfully implemented, would not reduce the deficit by $400 billion over the next decade. They would only cut $400 billion from proposed spending increases. NIA doesn’t understand why Obama would even waste his breath talking about reducing the deficit by $400 billion over the next decade, when the Federal Reserve is creating $600 billion in monetary inflation over a period of just eight months. Americans who listened to Obama speak last night wasted over an hour of their time, because until the Federal Reserve raises interest rates and stops printing money, it will be impossible for the U.S. economy to truly recover and become healthy.
 
Even if the U.S. government cut all discretionary spending down to zero, we would still have a budget deficit from Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid alone. Surprisingly, Obama admitted that most of the cuts he proposed “only address annual domestic spending, which represents a little more than 12% of our budget.” When referring to the Deficit Commission’s proposed spending cuts, Obama said “their conclusion is that the only way to tackle our deficit is to cut excessive spending wherever we find it”. In what was Obama’s most shocking statement of the night, he went on to say, “This means further reducing health care costs, including programs like Medicare and Medicaid, which are the single biggest contributor to our long-term deficit.”
 
This is the closest Obama has ever come to admitting that major cuts to Medicare and Medicaid are necessary, if we want to have any hope of ever balancing our budget. However, NIA is taking Obama’s comments with a grain of salt. He immediately changed the subject in the very next sentence, claiming his health care reform law that was enacted last year “will slow these rising costs”. He then continued to defend the law saying, “repealing the health care law would add a quarter of a trillion dollars to our deficit.”
 
One week ago, the new Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives voted 245-189 to repeal Obama’s health care reform law. The House’s vote to repeal it is meaningless because it would never pass the U.S. Senate and even if it did, Obama would simply veto it. NIA believes the law should be repealed because it is impossible for government legislation to bring down health care costs. Only the free market can bring down health care costs and the health care reform law will impede the free market more than any piece of legislation has ever impeded the free market in any industry or sector in history. In our opinion, the new health care law is guaranteed to add trillions of dollars to the deficit over the next decade and there is absolutely no chance of Obama ever making the necessary dramatic cuts to Medicare and Medicaid until the U.S. is already in the middle of an outbreak of hyperinflation.
 
When it comes to Social Security, Obama said we need a “bipartisan solution to strengthen” it and “we must do it without putting at risk current retirees” and “without slashing benefits for future generations”. In other words, nobody in Washington is even going to bring up the possibility of cutting or eliminating Social Security, because it would be political suicide for them. We need more honest representatives in Washington like Ron Paul who aren’t afraid to speak the truth about the need to cut entitlement programs and inform the American public to the consequences of our government’s deficit spending.
 
Most Americans think they don’t have to worry about our country’s national debt because our grandchildren are the ones who will ultimately be responsible to pay it off. Unfortunately, it won’t just be our grandchildren who feel the pain of our deficit spending and monetary inflation. All Americans with incomes and savings in U.S. dollars along with all foreigners holding dollar-denominated assets will begin to feel the pain of our government’s destructive actions in the very near future through massive price inflation and the U.S. dollar losing nearly all of its purchasing power.
 
One thing from last night’s State of the Union address is very clear, Obama is not serious about cutting spending and nobody in Washington has any expectation of the U.S. ever returning to a balanced budget. NIA believes that this past week’s dip in the prices of gold and silver is an unbelievable buying opportunity for Americans who already own precious metals as well as those wishing to buy precious metals for the first time. Sure, both gold and silver could dip lower in the short-term, but we can’t try to time short-term fluctuations and we need to stay focused on the long-term destruction of the U.S. dollar. In future State of the Union addresses to come in another year or two down the road, the entire focus of the President’s speech will likely be on inflation and the collapsing U.S. dollar. When that time comes and mainstream America becomes aware of what NIA members have known for years, we could easily see $5,000 per ounce gold and $500 per ounce silver, and everybody will regret not loading up as much as possible at these levels.
 
It is important to spread the word about NIA to as many people as possible, as quickly as possible, if you want America to survive hyperinflation. Please tell everybody you know to become members of NIA for free immediately at: http://inflation.us

Don’t forget to praise or be afraid to comment negatively. If you are having trouble finding something specific and can’t find it on our web site, let us know so that we will be better able to help you in the future. Leave feedback. Hit the COMMENTS button.

>See If You Can Determine Which Four Stocks?

>“4 Stocks Wall Street Doesn’t Want You to Know About”

This is all about four stocks. We provide the descriptions of where in the country they exist as companies and a little bit about them, but you will have to put names on them. . . at least for now. On our next post we’ll see if you know the answers. Write your answers in the Comment spot by clicking “Comments” below. These are real companies, real stocks that you and I should be discovering and maybe investing in.

“4 Stocks Wall Street Doesn’t Want You to Know About” marks the inaugural Special Report from HiddenStocks.com.  Inside this Special Report you’ll get the story on 4 stocks that you simply won’t learn about anywhere else – not on CNBC, not in the pages of Investor’s Business Daily, and certainly not in the Wall Street Journal.

Discover the following companies:

1- A junior oil producer operating in the prolific U.S. Rocky Mountain region that owns properties with a potential output worth an estimated $11 billion at current market prices.

2- A company that is developing next-generation applications, content and media assets targeting valuable on-screen real estate — the billions of computer, television, PDAs, iPhones, iPods, and camera and mobile phone desktops in use worldwide.

3- A company that is sitting on 28 square miles of property in the Carlin Trend, the richest gold district in the western hemisphere, second in the world only to Witwatersrand, South Africa. The big three producing gold companies -Goldcorp, Barrick and Newmont all made their mark on the Carlin Trend.

4- A company at the forefront of the emerging $10.8 billion global spice market. From its boutique farmers and organic-certified processing and packaging facility to its grind-fresh blends, this company stands out from the competition.

In the coming weeks you can expect to hear more from HiddenStocks.com regarding the companies discussed within the Special Report.

>The Certainty of Rising Prices

>The Certainty of Rising Prices
By Homer S. Schalazar

Around Christmas 2006, a friend posed a pertinent financial question: “You’re an investor, so where should I put my money?”

I told him without regret that even though I do invest, I don’t invest other people’s money. I hinted that commodities, like corn and soy beans, would do well, due to ethanol development and Asian and Indian surging demand for goods.

That was a simple answer to what clearly was a trend in the making. I also mentioned a military defense company. I look back at how simple it was to say that, and now I realize that those ideas that fall off your tongue after some study and thought usually hold some validity.

There was little for certain that I knew at that time—there seldom is— except that the American economy was headed downward sometime that year. The housing market had topped. The construction of new homes had declined. Speculation was at an unprecedented high. Why? Stocks were being priced at unjustifiably high prices.

That was going against the grain. From 2006-2008 the S&P index prices fell and fluctuated from around 1280 to 1570 and back down again.

Christmas 2007, I was wiser, and when asked the same question after having seen commodities continue to rise globally as Jim Rogers had forewarned. He had touted them as his major holding, but as every good trader knows you can’t live and die on someone else’s wisdom. I had to lean on only one thing—my own judgment—this time in the light of what seemed obvious.

As an investor there are times that you have nothing except your own judgment and ability to make a decision. Hopefully, experience helps us make prudent choices.

I was faced with the question:. “Am I too late?”

My advice in every investment decision, especially real estate, is to invest in what you understand and have studied well enough to reach a conclusion from experience. Because of the volatility of everything, of necessity it must concern a time frame in which you are able to finance your decisions.

These decisions will come with opportunity costs as life goes on. Holding some real estate, grain, oil, or gold seems like good advice, depending on individual financial constraints. Right now it is obvious that it would have been a great play many months ago to have invested in gold.

There is one constant. Each investor must determine his/her own risk tolerance.

Globally, the impact that China and India will have on commodity trends in transportation, and household heating, cooling, cooking, and using electricity warrants consideration.

Stephen Leeb and Glen Strathy wrote a book called The Coming Economic Collapse: How You Can Thrive When Oil Costs $200 a Barrel. They think there is a real possibility of $200 per barrel oil and $10 per gallon gasoline in the near future. They say that the fundamentals behind the rising prices are very strong, simply because supplies are insufficient to meet future global demand. China and India together will surpass U.S. consumption of oil at a rate that in ten years will seem unbearable, unless we somehow disconnect our demand from oil supplies from countries like Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Nigeria, and others that are subject to terrorism and political uncertainty. The U.S. must find alternative energy sources. China and India are growing so fast that they will surpass U.S. energy demand, and the United States will no longer be the world’s economic growth driver. The U.S. economy will plateau in growth, while China and India will continue to grow at a progressive rate.

Alternative energy stocks, gold, and commodity futures will help to energize investors’ financial accounts as these emerging economies feed growing populations. Also, stocks held for energy conservation investments, and currencies as a defensive investment strategy against inflation are recommended by Leeb and Strathy. Stocks like those that have fueled the American economic expansion during the 1970s to present times will also make these emerging economies strong.

I can only think of one scenario worse than rising inflation and high unemployment for the American people. This danger is embodied in this year’s presidential election, electing the wrong man. But perhaps this time Americans will learn to trust their values and core beliefs.